Showing posts with label Billionaires. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Billionaires. Show all posts

Sunday, December 14, 2025

3 things very wealthy people do before a market crash (so that we can prepare)

Nation building via learning and being the best in business 













 It happened in 1933, 2008, is it happening in 2025 There are three things that super rich investors do before a crash (do they have something we dont have why they can see a crash before it happens?

This is what they do:

1.  They liquidate their assets (especially if they can see if the assets:  stocks real estate are overvalued)
     They position themselves into liquid assets getting ready for 2.  We see Buffet with $325 Billion hoard of cash
2.   They position themselves into precious metal like silver or gold.  In the case of Bill Gates, positioning for farmland invested in 275,000 acres of farmland
3.   They to take advantage of debased financial assets with put option, debt swaps, and shorting to do bargain hunting and or vulture investing.




Buying a put option

You can also buy a put option to express a directional bias. A long put is similar to short selling a stock. The outlook is for the stock to decline after the put has been purchased and subsequently sell the option back at a higher price. Because of certain account type restrictions you may not be able to short stock, so buying a long put enables you to have a bearish position in a security with reduced capital allocation. 

Long puts have defined risk (the original cost of the option is the most you can lose) and undefined profit potential. Puts are typically more expensive than calls because investors are willing to pay a higher premium to protect against downside risk when hedging positions.

Selling a put option can also be an advantageous strategy to purchase a stock, because the credit from the put option reduces the cost basis of the stock position if assigned. Many investors sell puts on stocks they are happy to own and gladly accept payment in return. A short put option can be thought of as a limit order. 

For example, you might sell a put at a price you believe is support. Instead of waiting for the share price to fall and trigger your order, you essentially get “paid” to wait for the price to decline below the short put option’s strike price. If the stock price never drops below the strike price, you get to keep the premium.

Think about it: if a stock is trading at $102, and you would buy it at $100, why not sell a put with a $100 strike price? If you receive $5.00 for selling the put, you’ve reduced the position’s cost-basis to $95. You’re already up $500 per contract!

(Note: to sell a “naked” put, or cash-secured put, your account must have enough capital to purchase 100 shares at the contract’s strike price).

Put option spreads

While some of these use cases for put options may sound too good to be true, there are risks associated with selling options. As mentioned before, a short put option has undefined risk. That’s where spreads come in handy.

A spread combines two or more options into a single position to define risk for the seller or reduce cost for the buyer.  

bull put credit spread has the same bullish bias as a single-leg short put, but a long put is purchased below the short option to define the position’s risk. You’ll take in less credit because you have to buy a put option, and the credit received is still your maximum potential profit. But you can rest easy knowing your max loss is defined by the spread width minus the credit received.

For example, if a $5 wide bull put spread sold at $50 collects a $1.00 credit, the maximum profit potential is $100 if the stock price is above the short put at expiration. The max loss is $400 if the stock price is below $45 at expiration because the broker would automatically buy shares at $50 and sell shares at $45. (Remember, short put = buy, long put = sell). The trade’s break-even point is the short put strike minus the premium received.





Joseph Kennedy, Ackman are very famous for this.  They made their killing when the market was crashing.

Why is crash just around the corner (6 most to 18 mos)

1.  Overvaluedd stocks
2.  Huge US 38trillion debt
3.  Crashing real estate:

      House overpriced at 50%  (spreading homelessness in US)
      30-40% vacancy rate of  commercial real estate)
4.   End of petrodollar
5.   End of US as reserve currency
6.   Unwinding of the carry trade due to yen increase of bond rate.    Japan problem can take US with 
      it      

Wednesday, April 2, 2025

Profits from asset revaluation? - to make themselves Number 1?

Looking forward to the future of business

A business firm by a Filipino billionaire this post believes, used financial accounting magic (ledgermain) to post up his business to have earned P1trillion in profits.  While this may be legal and in accordance with GAAP, comparison with other companies can not be held acceptable:   all ready comparing apples and oranges.  Sales revenues as against asset revaluation.  And the business owner has to pay taxes on unrealized gain.  

The question is:   can you sell the properties at the published prices in the asset revaluation:    P200,000 memorial park plots anywehre in the Philippines..   X amount (hundreds of thousand pesos/sm at Villar city

What did the billionaire gain by revaluation?   Holding himself in high esteem in the business community?  Did he creeate wealth for others?  Did he create jobs?  Did he improve the econnomy?

Maybe we could do the same to our inventories and declare ourselves billionaires.  ?






Friday, March 7, 2025

Do we need CEOs or billionaires; drivers, cashiers, operators can create wealth without CEOs - is this true

Looking forward to the future of business

There was a post at a social media that says that the real creators of wealth are the thousand toiling hard working drivers, cashiers operators, and we hardly need the billionaires and CEOs who run the company.  They are an added cost.   The post generated a lot of controversy and conversation.   

Those who understand business say that the one who has idea started it all, saw the opportunity and created a product or service for that need.   Drivers and cashiers on their own, can not have thought about the product and business, and the wealth of the starters the entrepreneurs is the reward for that innovation and hard work they put into this.

Those who are simply anti business say that the huge salary paid to the CEO and the wealth they have is immoral.  

Its not because this post is an entrepreneur or heads a business.

But I know of case where the bosss, who was tired, and decided to work again for a boss, gave away the sort of truck for a burger machine type of business 300 of them in all to his workers so that they will run the same as a business and be rich too.  In 6 months, the business was gone.  On their own, without direction, without leadership, a business cant be sustained.    A CEO a billionaire is a necessayr fixture in the business models.  No CEO, no leader, no business.  Period       

Thursday, August 2, 2012

Forbes Real-Time Billionaires

See their roller coaster ride. Losing tens of millions and hundred millions thre
Forbes Real-Time Billionaires
Source: forbes.com
Track the biggest gains and losses of the day for the major holdings of a select group of billionaires.
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