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Showing posts with label Duterte. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Duterte. Show all posts

Sunday, December 22, 2019

Water companies value dip P127 value after spat with govt - where is systems thinking here?

Looking forward to the future of business

Rizal Philippines
December 22, 2019


Image result for Manila water stocks plunges after govt ends term extension


Just 2 days before Christmas, time to be happy and to celebrate.

Not for the executives, employees of the two water distributors:  Maynilad and Manila water, their employees and investors.

Which includes the govt pensions who owns large chuks of two water companies and the pensioners whose pensions are at risk, what with huge loss of value of the pensions shareholding.  The value  of water companies dived byas as much as $2.4 billion in a single day of trading, after it was announced that the term extension of the water companies will not be allowed.

P127 Billion lost due to Dutertes spat with water companies   

What are we talking about as oligarchs?  They Ayala and MVP  are simply heads, executive and not the sole owners.   of the water companies and since they are public held/listed companies, the small investors are the oligarchs are to be sent to jail as well?  Not to mention the P17 billion exposure of local banks to these water companies. All ready they are no longer releasing loans

Hinay hinay lang sirs.

It is worth noting that what was lacking in the actions and thought process is systems thinking ie that nothing is the world is now linear cause and effect and that one decision affects a myriad of other factors and elements.  The demise, malfunction causes malfunction of others.   It was part of the book of Hibino and Nadler   PDF Breakthrough Thinking  It is change in mindset, not rhethoric or bragadoccio, not high ratings


The top guns may brush aside this post as another mere academic ek ek. But practicing this will not get us to this dilemna, and another problem of the pension fund inability to pay the pensioners because of this showmanship.   (The estimated loss to the govt pension and SSS is about P4 billion - peanuts eh.) No one can advise the Chief to analyze the effect of decisions on the nation as he shoots from the hip?  I have an acquaintance who is a Usec who have strong ties with the Chief and who can advise...

What about perception of the investing companies of the Philippines as an investment haven?   Loss of confidence due to impetuousness of the leader?

Another case in point.   Non renewal of Franchise of TV and radio of ABS CBN.  Think of the possible exit plans of the said company:

      1.  They have alternative TV and radio station to go to, ABC 5 which is languishing, the TV station of JIL

      2. The company  is now a content producer:  TV shows movies magazines etc. which they can simply distribute.

      3.  They have IWAN TV  that is a pay for view platform for their movies and other shows.

Who cares sir if you  throw me in the river sir?   Will the turtle drown sirs...

Well the head of state is the head of state.  We are simply analyzing the problems that are being caused by certain decision.    Things will be better.

Sunday, October 6, 2019

Swerti ba yon? Condonation of P1.66 billion worth of loans by a group?

Professor on Entrepreneurship

SPAV law

Rizal Philippines
October 7, 2019

Image result for govt condones Lopez group loans

This post is disturbed that the Pres is ranting vs a group of companies whom we admire as one of the biggest has having been their billions of loans condoned by a special law.   They  are not the only ones though we benefited by these special laws.

Under SPAV, there is no or little loss, since all the  NPLs are sold to a SPAV vehicle which facilitates disposal of loan assets because of some incentives.   However, the news article indicated  that DBP wrote off the xxxxxHoldings (formerly  yyyyy)

From Inquirer - DBP writes off xxxx Loan

The Pres of the group was quick to point out that they do not have any more outstanding loans (because  they were written off) nor was the loans behest.... (not done by an executive edict) but its payment was condoned.  Much worse.  

It is not clear whether the said business group exist or get concession because of political connection. Some argue that Senate Pres.    who is from Iloilo is kababayan of the  Lopez who approved the SPAV law
at and during the time of a Pres. who is a political ally

Ordinary citzens would not get the same privilege.  We as businessmen, have to sweat out the business plan, the execution of the plan,, and the repayment of financial obligations.   It looks unfair.

What do you think, was PRD30 right in ranting vs this group (or maybe all those businesses whose loans were written off?