The consequences are difficult to understand but will there be war in Middle East?
Who will push through with the war?
Obama or the other presidentiables?
---------- Forwarded message ----------
From:
American Breaking Point <Service@americanbreakingpoint.com>
Date: Fri, Jul 6, 2012 at 2:41 AM
Subject: Is war inevitable?
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The Enemy of My Enemy Is My Friend, Redux
By Mark Nestmann
Ten years ago, the Sovereign Society published what became the most controversial article I've ever written. Entitled "The Enemy of My Enemy is My Friend." It predicted that the then-upcoming invasion of Iraq would have the unforeseen consequence of accelerating the rise of Islamic fundamentalism in the Mideast.
Rather than attacking Iraq, then led by dictator Saddam Hussein, I suggested, tongue-in-cheek, that the United States should target Islamic fundamentalism more directly by sending Saddam billions of dollars to topple the Saudi Arabian government. After all, Saudi Arabia, was—and still is—controlled by Islamic fundamentalists. Indeed, 15 of the 19 participants in the 9/11/01 terror attacks carried Saudi passports. Moreover, Islamic fundamentalists loathed Saddam. In more than two decades of his rule, Saddam murdered tens of thousands of them.
Sadly, while I received hundreds of e-mails attacking my logic, the outcome was just as I predicted. By deposing Saddam, former President George W. Bush gave Islamic fundamentalism in Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and many other countries an enormous boost.
Now, 10 years later, the tide has turned 180 degrees. President Obama is preparing for war with both Syria and Iran. Obama has ordered the Navy and Air Force to prepare for air strikes on Syria. With Iran, Obama's actions are more nuanced: his administration has ratcheted up the economic sanctions against its Islamic fundamentalist rulers, while also claiming it won't permit a nuclear-armed Iran to exist.
Meanwhile, Obama's neocon opponents are baying for war. Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney has stated publicly he has the authority to attack Iran without congressional approval. Not to be outdone, Republican vice-Presidential hopeful Marco Rubio recently announced that the American people should be prepared for war with both Iran and Syria.
Is war inevitable? While Obama seems less inclined to start a war than Romney does, public opinion polls show nearly 60% of Americans believe military action is justified to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons. As a last-minute maneuver to garner swing votes in his re-election bid, Obama might be persuaded to invade Iran. And if Obama fails to do so, and loses his re-election bid to Romney, war appears a virtual certainty.
Once war begins, what is the most likely geopolitical outcome? I believe the following near-term consequences will develop:
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